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Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico Gaio Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Arnaldi vs Gaio analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico Gaio Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 2 - 0 Gaio

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Arnaldi has won 51.54% of points on their second serve, while Gaio has won 46.97%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 48.79% of their opponent's second serve points, while Gaio has won 50.09%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.01% and 29.96% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Arnaldi has saved 63.16% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Gaio has saved 56.36% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Arnaldi has won 61.76% of matches played (W/L 42/ 26), with Gaio winning 40% (W/L 18/ 27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 124/ 61), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19). Gaio has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 328/ 253), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 5/ 9).
  • Player level: In the last year, Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.62% of matches (W/L 17/ 12), where as Gaio has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 36.67% of matches (W/L 11/ 19). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Arnaldi winning 2 times and Gaio being victorious 0 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 4 and Gaio winning 0. The last match between Arnaldi and Gaio was at the Wimbledon - London, 28-06-2023, Q2 round, Grass with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 7-6(5) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:20:44.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Arnaldi and Gaio have played a deciding set 0 times, with Arnaldi winning 0 times and Gaio 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Arnaldi winning 1, and Gaio 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 169.38 while Gaio has played against players with an average rank of 314.73.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Arnaldi has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Gaio has won 59% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Arnaldi has converted 37.14% of breakpoint opportunities, and Gaio has converted 36.55% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

35

Rank

34

High

23

Age

Plays

2

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

387

Rank

124

High

32

Age

R

Plays

Federico Gaio

13

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

9

Minor

2

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

W L W L W W W L W L

Form

L L L W W W W L L W

63% (207-120)

Career Total W/L

54% (520-436)

57% (20-15)

YTD W/L

36% (8-14)

$1,505,585

Career Prize Money

$392,005

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Arnaldi VS Gaio H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Matteo Arnaldi Federico Gaio
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 4 0
Games Won 25 12
Aces (Total) 7 6
DFs Total 1 5
Avg Match Time 1:20:44 1:20:44
1st Serve % 60% (64/106) 63% (82/131)
1st Serve Win% 80% (51/64) 65% (53/82)
2nd Serve Win% 74% (31/42) 49% (24/49)
BPs Won% (Total) 50% (6/12) 0% (0/3)
Return Points W% 41% (54/131) 23% (24/106)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)

Arnaldi VS Gaio H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 6-4
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Federico Gaio
59% ( 41 of 69)
1st Serve %
63% ( 50 of 80)
5
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
4
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
79% ( 22 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
22% ( 15 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 26 of 80)
80
Total Points Won
69
6-2 6-0
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Federico Gaio
62% ( 23 of 37)
1st Serve %
63% ( 32 of 51)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
83% ( 19 of 23)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 9 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
56
Total Points Won
32

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Matteo Arnaldi Federico Gaio
YTD W/L 57% (20/15) 36% (8/14)
Sets Win/Loss 56% (51/40) 37% (19/33)
Games Win/Loss 51% (466/441) 45% (220/266)
Hard Win/Loss 56% (10/8) 22% (2/7)
Clay Win/Loss 60% (9/6) 46% (6/7)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.57 0.34
Aces Total 252 82
DFs per game 0.24 0.35
DFs Total 107 84
Avg Match Time 2:10:10 1:47:59
Avg Opp Rank 188 294.41
1st Serve % 57% (1699/2995) 58% (907/1567)
1st Serve W% 71% (1204/1699) 66% (603/907)
2nd Serve W% 52% (668/1296) 47% (310/660)
BPs Won% Total 37% (104/280) 37% (53/145)
Return Pts W% 38% (1109/2938) 37% (590/1587)
Slam W/L 67% (4/2) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 55% (6/5) 0% (0/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 56% (9/7) 0% (0/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 50% (1/1) 25% (3/9)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (4/2)
Best of 3 Sets W% 54% (15/28) 33% (7/21)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 56% (10/18) 0% (0/4)
Deciding Set W% 47% (7/15) 57% (4/7)
1st set W, W 74% (19/14) 83% (6/5)
1st set W, L 26% (19/5) 17% (6/1)
1st set L, W 33% (15/5) 19% (16/3)

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Rinky Hijikata
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63% ( 57 of 90)
1st Serve %
56% ( 50 of 90)
2
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
6
72% ( 41 of 57)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 31 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 38 of 90)
97
Total Points Won
83
L
7-6(0) 7-6(7) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Ugo Humbert
54% ( 49 of 90)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
9
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
1
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 27 of 86)
89
Total Points Won
87
W
3-6 6-1 7-6(6) H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
66% ( 77 of 116)
1st Serve %
58% ( 88 of 151)
7
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
2
74% ( 57 of 77)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 57 of 88)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
24% ( 5 of 21)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 38 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 64 of 151)
142
Total Points Won
125
L
3-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
W
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexandre Muller
55% ( 65 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 87)
11
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 45 of 65)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
43% ( 23 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
14% ( 3 of 21)
43% ( 51 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 48 of 87)
116
Total Points Won
90
W
6-4 6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
63% ( 71 of 112)
1st Serve %
64% ( 64 of 100)
5
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
41% ( 46 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 49 of 100)
115
Total Points Won
97
W
6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53% ( 37 of 70)
1st Serve %
60% ( 51 of 85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
83
Total Points Won
72
L
6-2 2-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45% ( 25 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
L
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53% ( 57 of 107)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
56% ( 28 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 39 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 89)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H

Federico Gaio Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q1
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Blake Mott
52% ( 32 of 61)
1st Serve %
77% ( 50 of 65)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 30 of 50)
38% ( 11 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
39% ( 24 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 31 of 65)
68
Total Points Won
58
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Federico Gaio
55% ( 34 of 62)
1st Serve %
51% ( 35 of 68)
5
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
7
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 19 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
59
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Maxime Chazal
Player
Federico Gaio
75% ( 60 of 80)
1st Serve %
60% ( 56 of 93)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
3
57% ( 34 of 60)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 31 of 56)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 12 of 37)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
46% ( 37 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 50 of 93)
93
Total Points Won
80
L
4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Andrea Picchione
68% ( 52 of 76)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 98)
5
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
4
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 38 of 61)
63% ( 15 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
30% ( 23 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 40 of 98)
93
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Alexander Zgirovsky
52% ( 34 of 65)
1st Serve %
62% ( 40 of 65)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
65% ( 22 of 34)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 8 of 25)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 32 of 65)
74
Total Points Won
56
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Simone Agostini
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve %
65% ( 43 of 66)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 32 of 66)
72
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Paul Barbier Gazeu
73% ( 68 of 93)
1st Serve %
62% ( 58 of 94)
4
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
3
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 37 of 58)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
42% ( 39 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 41 of 94)
95
Total Points Won
92
W
6-3 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Player
Federico Gaio
64% ( 51 of 80)
1st Serve %
58% ( 50 of 86)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
40% ( 32 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 41 of 86)
89
Total Points Won
77
L
7-6(1) 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Ignacio Buse
Player
Federico Gaio
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve %
67% ( 33 of 49)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
33% ( 4 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 16 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 23 of 49)
57
Total Points Won
42
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Player
Federico Gaio
66% ( 44 of 67)
1st Serve %
47% ( 35 of 75)
5
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
6
80% ( 35 of 44)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 27 of 35)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
28% ( 19 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
80
Total Points Won
62
L
7-5 6-3 H2H

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